Traders Workshop : Harnessing e-tools in Trend analysis, by Patrick Kinsel

Patrick Kinsel
Head Analyst, FX Trading
The ability to recognize a trend is one of
the most important skills any trader can harness. The FX market,
like other financial markets, will trend upwards, downwards, or
sideways over varied timeframes. If a trader can learn to discern
which direction the market is trending, they position themselves to
succeed greatly. Today, as a result of increasingly sophisticated
charting packages and trading platforms, even novice traders are
easily able to utilize sophisticated indicators to help recognize
trends.
A trend is simply the overall direction of the market. At some
points, trends may be easily recognizable. At other times, trends
may be overshadowed by wild market fluctuations or hidden within a
ranging currency pair. Failing to recognize a trending market can
mean death to even the most skillful trader. For example, if a
trader shorts a currency pair at what they perceive to be a strong
resistance point, but fails to recognize the markets overall upward
trend, they may be on the wrong side of the position. Although the
resistance seemed strong in this case, the upward trend is often
more powerful and more likely to lead the markets movement.
As trading platforms become more sophisticated, the average trader
is able to harness increasingly complicated indicators to recognize
trends. Tools that were once reserved for only the most
sophisticated traders are now available to anyone with a basic
charting package and an internet connection.
ADX
An ADX line illustrates the directional change and/or movement on a
scale of 0-100. When the ADX value is rising, the market is
trending. When the ADX line falls, a trend is not presently
occurring. Analyzing the ADX is only the first step; it does not
tell you what direction the market is trending.
Magazine articles in HTML format on this website are only available to current paid subscribers so unless you are a current subscriber you will not be able to read any more of this article. However, e-Forex has now made all flash and pdf versions of the magazine freely available to registered users so you can still access and view this article in full. Please sign in above and register your contact details and then these versions of the magazine can be found here: http://www.e-forex.net/Digital+Versions.efx
If you have already registered but still cannot access these versions you may need to upgrade your existing account.Please use the link below to upgrade your account which will give you free access to these versions of the magazine.